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Monday, August 10, 2015

Houston Texans - 2015 Projections

Houston Texans

Overall Outlook
The 2014 season was pretty solid for the Houston Texans and playing in the AFC South, the Texans have a good chance to be relevant in 2015. Having J.J. Watt always gives the Texans a chance, and with LB Jadeveon Clowney healthy, after an injury riddled season, we see Houston's defense as very strong.  However, the QB and RB situation for this organization is up in the air right now. Arian Foster had surgery on his groin, and could miss over half the season. leaving a bunch of unknowns to rush the ball. At QB, Brian Hoyer and Ryan Mallet will battle for the job, neither of whom have much experience as the leader of an NFL club. Overall, we think the Texans defense will get them some wins, but we don't see a Foster-less Texans making the playoffs in 2015.

Offseason Moves
Key additions: QB Brian Hoyer, RB Chris Polk, WR Cecil Shorts, WR Nate Washington, NT Vince Wilfork, S Rahim Moore, S Stevie Brown
Key losses: QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB Case Keenum, WR Andre Johnson, G Cody White, C Chris Myers, DE/DT Tim Jamison, DE/OLB Brooks Reed, S D.J. Swearinger, S Danieal Manning

Offensive Outlook
The Texans will have to rely heavily on Brian Hoyer (we expect him to win the starting job) early in the season to carry the offense. DeAndre Hopkins is looking strong, and the signing of Nate Washington and Cecil Shorts should help to passing game. However, we expect a very conservative style of offense out of the Texans, avoiding turnovers, and letting the defense win games for the Texans.

Projections - 2015
QB1 - Brian Hoyer - Passing - 3400 yds / 19 tds  Rushing - 150 yds / 2 tds
RB1 - Alfred Blue - Rushing - 800 yds / 6 tds  Receiving - 25 recs / 200 yds / 1 td
RB2 - Arian Foster - Rushing - 700 yds / 6 tds  Receiving - 20 recs / 150 yds / 1 td
WR1 - DeAndre Hopkins - Receiving - 95 recs / 1275 yds / 6 tds
WR2 - Cecil Shorts - Receiving - 65 recs / 725 yds / 3 tds
WR3 - Nate Washington - Receiving - 35 recs / 500 yds / 2 tds
TE1 - Garret Graham - Receiving - 40 recs / 450 yds / 3 tds

Defensive Outlook
The Texans defense will be a fun group to watch in 2015. J.J. Watt is an elite defender, and guys like Clowney, Cushing, Jackson, Joseph, Moore, and Wilfork are all solid contributors. Expect the unit to produce some big plays and be a strong option as a DST in redraft leagues.  

Projections - 2015
DE1 - J.J. Watt - 80 total Ts / 15 sacks / 10 passes defensed / 8 total TOs (3 rec TDs)
DE2 - Jared Crick - 40 total Ts / 3 sacks / 1 passes defensed / 2 total TOs
DT - Vince Wilfork - 25 total Ts / 1 sack / 2 passes defensed / 1 total TO
OLB1 - Jadeveon Clowney -  55 total Ts / 8 sacks / 2 passes defensed / 4 total TOs
OLB2 - Whitney Mercilus - 40 total Ts / 4 sacks / 2 passes defensed / 1 total TO
ILB1 - Brian Cushing - 120 total Ts / 3 sacks / 4 passes defensed / 4 total TOs
ILB2 - Benardrick McKinney - 110 total Ts / 4 sacks / 6 passes defensed / 4 total TOs
CB1 - Kareem Jackson - 70 total Ts / 0 sacks / 12 passes defensed / 3 total TOs
CB2 - Johnathan Joseph - 70 total Ts / 0 sacks / 10 passes defensed / 3 total TOs
S1 - Rahim Moore - 75 total Ts / 1 sack / 5 passes defensed / 5 total TOs
S2 - Eddie Pleasant -  65 total Ts / 0 sacks / 4 passes defensed / 2 total TOs

Schedule

See HERE for schedule analysis.
http://espn.go.com/nfl/team/schedule/_/name/hou/houston-texans

Depth Charts
ourlads.com
PosNoPlayer 1NoPlayer 2NoPlayer 3NoPlayer 4NoPlayer 5
Offense
LWR10Hopkins, DeAndre 13/113Johnson, Damaris W/Phi82Martin, Keshawn 12/412Mumphery, Keith 15/517Nwachukwu, Uzoma CF13
RWR85Shorts, Cecil U/Jax11Strong, Jaelen 15/385WASHINGTON, NATE U/Ten2Davis, Jace SF146Worthy, Chandler CF15
RWR19Labhart, Travis CF14
LT76Brown, Duane 08/170Adams, Jeff W/Ten63Lamm, Kendall CF15
LG71Su'a-Filo, Xavier 14/262Slade, Chad CF15
C60Jones, Ben 12/467White, Cody CF1278Ferentz, James SF1465Mancz, Greg CF15
RG79Brooks, Brandon 12/3
RT72Newton, Derek 11/772Witzmann, Bryan CF1473Feiler, Matt CF1466Treadwell, Joseph CF1500Adams, Aaron SF15
TE88Graham, Garrett 10/487Fiedorowicz, CJ 14/384Griffin, Ryan 13/681Denham, AD CF1486Lee, Khari CF15
TE89McFarland, Mike CF15
QB7Hoyer, Brian U/Cle15Mallett, Ryan T/NE3Savage, Tom 14/4
FB45Prosch, Jay 14/6
RB28Blue, Alfred 14/632Polk, Chris SF1541Grimes, Jonathan W/Jax38Hilliard, Kenny 15/723Foster, Arian CF09
Defense
RDE99Watt, JJ 11/192Finau, Tevita SF1495Covington, Christian 15/698McLeod, Cameron CF15
NT75WILFORK, VINCE CC/Hou92Nix III, Louis 14/361Deaderick, Brandon U/NO00Neild, Chris SF15
LDE93Crick, Jared 12/497Pagan, Jeoffrey 14/647Trail, Lynden CF1596Pettinato, Dan CF1564Coleman, Jasper CF15
SLB59Mercilus, Whitney 12/151Simon, John P/Bal64Brown, Kourtnei SF1444Thompson, Carlos CF15
LILB56Cushing, Brian 09/150Dent, Akeem PUP53Bullough, Max CF1458Cliett, Reshard 15/6
RILB55McKinney, Benardrick 15/257Tuggle, Justin CF1352Tarpinian, Jeff SF1354Mohamed, Mike SF13
OLB90Clowney, Jadeveon PUP65Ankrah, Jason CF1449Washington, Tony CF15
LCB25Jackson, Kareem 10/130Johnson, Kevin 15/134Bouye, AJ CF1326Morris, Darryl W/SF20Rolle, Jumal P/GB
SS35Pleasant, Eddie CF1233Brown, Stevie U/NYG42Parks, Terrance SF1443Moore, Corey CF15
FS26Moore, Rahim U/Den39Ballentine, Lonnie 14/740Drummond, Kurtis CF15
RCB24JOSEPH, JOHNATHAN U/Cin29Hal, Andre 14/731James, Charles SF14
Special Teams
P9LECHLER, SHANE U/Oak8Johnson, Will CF15
PK4Bullock, Randy 12/5
LS46Weeks, Jonathan CF10
H9LECHLER, SHANE U/Oak
PR82Martin, Keshawn 12/413Johnson, Damaris W/Phi
KR13Johnson, Damaris W/Phi82Martin, Keshawn 12/4
Reserves
RES77Quessenberry, David NFI16Bonner, Alan NFI

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