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Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Miami Dolphins - 2015 Projections

Miami Dolphins

Overall Outlook
After a promising 5-3 start, coach Joe Philbin's Miami Dolphins faded late in 2014 to miss the postseason for a sixth consecutive year. One major concern was offensive line, as left tackle Branden Albert and center Mike Pouncey, were both hurt last season.  With the O-line healthy, Suh added to the D-line, and with Ryan Tannehill taking another step forward, we expect improvement out of both sides of the ball in Miami, which means the Dolphins are ready to make the playoffs as well as provide solid fantasy statistics this year.

Offseason Moves
Key additions:  QB Josh Freeman, WR Kenny Stills, WR Greg Jennings, TE Jordan Cameron, C J.D. Walton, C Jacques McClendon, DT Ndamukong Suh, DT C.J. Mosley, OLB Spencer Paysinger, CB Brice McCain, CB Zackary Bowman
Key losses: RB Knowshon Moreno, WR Mike Wallace, WR Brandon Gibson, WR Brian Hartline, TE Charles Clay, G Shelley Smith, G Daryn Colledge, G Nate Garner, C Samson Satele, DT Randy Starks, DT Jared Odrick, LB Dannell Ellerbe, LB Philip Wheeler, LB Jason Trusnik, CB Cortland Finnegan, CB/S Jimmy Wilson

Offensive Outlook
The Dolphins offense needs Ryan Tannehill to be more efficient in the redzone in 2015, which is why the Dolphins went out and signed Jordan Cameron, Greg Jennings, and Kenny Stills as well as drafted DeVante Parker this offseason. Tannehill now has Landry, Stills, Cameron, Miller, and Jennings to look for in the redzone.  We expect the offense to be solid, but it still won't produce jaw dropping numbers in 2015.

Projections - 2015
QB1 - Ryan Tannehill - Passing - 4000 yds / 26 tds  Rushing - 250 yds / 1 td 
RB1 - Lamar Miller - Rushing - 1000 yds / 5 tds  Receiving - 35 recs / 225 yds / 1 td
RB2 - Damien Williams - Rushing - 400 yds / 2 tds  Receiving - 25 recs / 200 yds / 1 td
WR1 - Jarvis Landry - Receiving - 100 recs / 1000 yds / 8 tds
WR2 - Kenny Stills - Receiving - 60 recs / 800 yds / 4 tds
WR3 - DeVante Parker - Receiving - 50 recs / 575 yds / 4 tds
TE1 - Jordan Cameron - Receiving - 60 recs / 700 yds / 5 tds

Defensive Outlook
The Dolphins have steadily built a strong collection of talent on the defensive line via the draft and in free agency. Miami has one of the NFL’s deepest groups of defensive ends and a great rotation of defensive tackle. The defense finished 20th in yards allowed,and 21st in points allowed in 2014, so we expect a solid jump from them in 2015 as well as good numbers from most of the IDP stars. Finally, be sure to take a look at the Dolphins as a sleeper redraft DST, especially early in the season against Washington, Jacksonville, Buffalo, New York, Tennessee, and Houston.

Projections - 2015
DE1 - Cameron Wake - 50 total Ts / 12 sacks / 3 passes defensed / 3 total TOs
DE2 - Olivier Vernon - 50 total Ts / 8 sacks / 3 passes defensed / 4 total TOs
DT1 - Ndamukong Suh - 50 total Ts / 8 sacks / 2 passes defensed / 3 total TOs
DT2 - Earl Mitchell - 30 total Ts / 1 sack / 2 passes defensed / 1 total TO
OLB1 - Jelani Jenkins -  120 total Ts / 3 sacks / 3 passes defensed / 4 total TOs
OLB2 - Chris McCain - 70 total Ts / 2 sacks / 2 passes defensed / 2 total TOs
MLB - Koa Misi - 100 total Ts / 2 sacks / 5 passes defensed / 2 total TOs
CB1 - Brent Grimes - 90 total Ts / 0 sacks / 13 passes defensed / 3 total TOs
CB2 - Brice McCain - 45 total Ts / 0 sacks / 8 passes defensed / 2 total TOs
S1 - Reshad Jones - 110 total Ts / 1 sack / 5 passes defensed / 4 total TOs
S2 - Louis Delmas -  65 total Ts / 1 sack / 5 passes defensed / 2 total TOs

Schedule

See HERE for schedule analysis.
http://espn.go.com/nfl/team/schedule/_/name/mia/miami-dolphins

Depth Charts
ourlads.com
PosNoPlayer 1NoPlayer 2NoPlayer 3NoPlayer 4NoPlayer 5
Offense
LWR85JENNINGS, GREG CC/Min11Parker, DeVante PUP81Byrd, LaRon SF147Hamilton, Cobi W/Cin 
RWR10Stills, Kenny T/NO18Matthews, Rishard 12/783Hazel, Matt 14/6  
SWR14Landry, Jarvis 14/21Jones, Christion CF1540Cone, Kevin W/Cle87Aultman, Damarr CF1515McDonald, Tyler SF15
LT71ALBERT, BRANDEN U/KC74Fox, Jason U/Det60Walker, Aundrey CF15  
LG63Thomas, Dallas 13/375Douglas, Jamil 15/468Browning, Bryant SF15  
C51Pouncey, Mike 11/159Walton, JD CC/NYG65Brenner, Sam CF1366McClendon, Jacques SF15 
RG77Turner, Billy 14/372Linkenbach, Jeff U/KC69Liedtke, Michael CF15  
RT70James, Ja'Wuan 14/161Hawkins, Donald W/Dal   
TE84Cameron, Jordan U/Cle80Sims, Dion 13/485Robinson, Gerell W/Cle86Stoneburner, Jake SF1482Semisch, Tim CF15
QB17Tannehill, Ryan 12/18MOORE, MATT U/Car5Freeman, Josh SF1516Bethel-Thompson, McLeod SF14 
RB26Miller, Lamar 12/434Williams, Damien CF1427James, LaMichael SF1433Ajayi, Jay 15/523Gillislee, Mike 13/5
RB    32Bronson, Demitrius SF15
Defense
LDE91WAKE, CAMERON SF0979Shelby, Derrick CF1247Drew, Ray CF15  
LDT93Suh, Ndamukong U/Det76Johnson, Anthony CF1494MOSLEY, CJ U/Det62Coleman, Deandre P/Jax 
RDT90Mitchell, Earl U/Hou97Phillips, Jordan 15/296Francis, AJ P/NE73Barnett, Calvin SF15 
RDE50Vernon, Olivier 12/378Fede, Terrence 14/766Dieke, Emmanuel SF1467Montgomery, Kendall CF15 
WLB53Jenkins, Jelani 13/442Paysinger, Spencer U/NYG48Hewitt, Neville CF1556Davidson, James SF15 
MLB55Misi, Koa 10/252Sheppard, Kelvin SF1448Luc, Jeff CF15  
SLB58McCain, Chris CF1457Tripp, Jordan 14/549Vigil, Zach CF1545Hull, Mike CF15 
LCB21GRIMES, BRENT U/Atl29Davis, Will 13/337Seamster, Sammy W/Bal38Lippett, Tony 15/5 
SS20Jones, Reshad 10/535Aikens, Walt 14/444Kovacs, Jordan P/Phi43Thomas, Phillip SF15 
FS25Delmas, Louis CC/Det31Thomas, Michael P/SF38Jones, Don PUP41Thompson, Cedric 15/5 
RCB22Taylor, Jamar 13/224McCain, Brice U/Pit30BOWMAN, ZACK U/NYG28McCain, Bobby 15/5 
N-B24McCain, Brice U/Pit28McCain, Bobby 15/5   
Special Teams
P2FIELDS, BRANDON 07/74Darr, Matt CF15   
PK9Sturgis, Caleb 13/53Franks, Andrew CF15   
LS92DENNEY, JOHN CF05    
H2FIELDS, BRANDON 07/74Darr, Matt CF15   
KO9Sturgis, Caleb 13/53Franks, Andrew CF15   
PR14Landry, Jarvis 14/218Matthews, Rishard 12/727James, LaMichael SF141Jones, Christion CF15 
KR14Landry, Jarvis 14/234Williams, Damien CF1427James, LaMichael SF141Jones, Christion CF15 
Reserves
SUS95Jordan, Dion SUS    
RES6Streeter, Tommy IR

Thursday, August 13, 2015

Kansas City Chiefs - 2015 Projections

Kansas City Chiefs

Overall Outlook
After starting the 2014 season 7-3 and stifling teams with their defense, the Kansas City Chiefs lost four of their final six games and missed the playoffs by one game. The main reason for the decline came from the passing game, where no Kansas City WR caught a single TD pass. To improve the passing game, KC signed Jeremy Maclin and drafted Chris Conley. Unfortunately, Kansas City has a very tough schedule which will make it difficult to hit .500 this year. We don't see the Chiefs making the playoffs in 2015.

Offseason Moves
Key additions: WR Jeremy Maclin, G Ben Grubbs, G Jeff Linkenbach, G Paul Fanaika, DT Vance Walker, ILB Joe Mays, CB Chris Owens, S Tyvon Branch
Key losses: WR Dwayne Bowe, TE Anthony Fasano, C Rodney Hudson, DE/DT Vance Walker, DE/DT Kevin Vickerson, ILB Joe Mays, CB Chris Owens

Offensive Outlook
Kansas City is expected to put together a better offensive season in 2015 than 2014. The Chiefs don't have to play Seattle, St. Louis or Arizona, which will help.  We project the entire offense getting slightly better, but we don't see fantasy star potential out of anyone but Jamaal Charles.

Projections - 2015
QB1 - Alex Smith - Passing - 3400 yds / 20 tds Rushing - 400 yds / 1 td
RB1 - Jamaal Charles - Rushing - 1150 yds / 9 tds  Receiving - 55 recs / 450 yds / 2 tds
RB2 - Knile Davis - Rushing - 500 yds / 5 tds  Receiving - 25 recs / 200 yds / 2 tds
WR1 - Jeremy Maclin - Receiving - 70 recs / 925 yds / 5 tds
WR2 - Albert Wilson - Receiving - 45 recs / 600 yds / 4 tds
WR3 - Chris Conley - Receiving - 25 recs / 275 yds / 2 tds
TE1 - Travis Kelce - Receiving - 60 recs / 700 yds / 5 tds

Defensive Outlook
Kansas City's defense was a bright spot for most of the 2014 season, ranking 2nd in points allowed and 7th in yards allowed. Kansas City has plenty of high end talent, and have proven strong for two straight years, so we'd recommend their starters in IDP formats, and their DST in redrafts formats for 2015.

Projections - 2015
DE1 - Mike DeVito - 45 total Ts / 2 sacks / 1 pass defensed / 2 total TOs
DE2 - Allen Bailey - 35 total Ts / 3 sacks / 2 passes defensed / 1 total TO
DT - Dontari Poe - 45 total Ts / 4 sacks / 2 passes defensed / 3 total TOs
OLB1 - Justin Houston - 70 total Ts / 16 sacks / 5 passes defensed / 4 total TOs
OLB2 - Tamba Hali -  55 total Ts / 10 sacks / 2 passes defensed / 6 total TOs
ILB1 - Derrick Johnson - 140 total Ts / 5 sacks / 7 passes defensed / 5 total TOs
ILB2 - Josh Mauga - 80 total Ts / 2 sacks / 4 passes defensed / 2 total TOs
CB1 - Phillip Gaines - 55 total Ts / 0 sacks / 8 passes defensed / 2 total TOs
CB2 - Sean Smith 45 total Ts / 0 sacks / 12 passes defensed / 2 total TOs
S1 - Tyvon Branch - 90 total Ts / 0 sacks / 8 passes defensed / 5 total TOs
S2 - Ron Parker 80 total Ts / 0 sacks / 5 passes defensed / 2 total TOs

Schedule

See HERE for schedule analysis.
http://espn.go.com/nfl/team/schedule/_/name/kc/kansas-city-chiefs

Depth Charts
ourlads.com
PosNoPlayer 1NoPlayer 2NoPlayer 3NoPlayer 4NoPlayer 5
Offense
LWR13Thomas, De'Anthony 14/485Hammond, Frankie CF1388Hemingway, Junior 12/717Conley, Chris 15/315Luckett, Donatella CF15
LWR00Smith, Jeret CF1500Washington, L'Damian SF15
RWR19Maclin, Jeremy U/Phi81AVANT, JASON SF1412Wilson, Albert CF144Brown, Da'Ron 15/76Cook, Kenny CF15
RWR00Drake, Adam CF1583Williams, Fred CF13
LT72Fisher, Eric 13/174Rooks, Tavon SF15
LG66GRUBBS, BEN T/NO76Duvernay-Tardif, Laurent 14/600Reed, Marcus W/GB
C64Kush, Eric 13/661Morse, Mitch 15/269Frye, Garrett CF1577Munyer, Daniel CF15
RG71Allen, Jeff 12/274Fanaika, Paul U/Arz73Fulton, Zach 14/660Pughsley, Jarrod SF14
RT79Stephenson, Donald 12/378Sherrod, Derek SF1400Dima, Anthony KC
TE87Kelce, Travis 13/384Harris, Demetrius PUP89Gordon, Richard SF1482Taylor, Ryan SF1580O'Shaughnessy, James 15/5
TE84Schiltz, Adam W/Ten
QB11SMITH, ALEX T/SF10Daniel, Chase U/NO7Murray, Aaron 14/5
FB42Sherman, Anthony T/Arz44Ware, Spencer SF14
RB25Charles, Jamaal 08/334Davis, Knile 13/335West, Charcandrick CF14
Defense
LDE96Howard, Jaye W/Sea98Williams, Nicholas P/Pit90Martin, Vaughn SF1574Irving, David CF15
NT92Poe, Dontari PUP75Tuaau, Charles CF1500FANGUPO, LONI SF14
RDE70DEVITO, MIKE U/NYJ97Bailey, Allen 11/377Catapano, Mike 13/799Nunez-Roches, Rakeem 15/6
LOLB50Houston, Justin 11/355Ford, Dee 14/151Zombo, Frank SF13
LILB56JOHNSON, DERRICK 05/1
RILB90Mauga, Josh SF1457Alexander, DJ 15/5
ROLB91HALI, TAMBA 06/195Martin, Josh CF1354Moses, Dezman W/GB59March-Lillard, Justin CF15
LCB23Gaines, Phillip 14/322Peters, Marcus 15/130Fleming, Jamell P/Bal31Cooper, Marcus W/SF00Short, Kevin CF15
SS38Parker, Ron W/Sea27Branch, Tyvon CC/Oak29Berry, Eric 10/1
FS39ABDULLAH, HUSAIN SF1324McCray, Kelcie T/TB49Sorensen, Daniel CF14
RCB21Smith, Sean SUS/326Commings, Sanders 13/520Nelson, Steven 15/344Hester, Aaron SF1540Olatoye, Deji SF14
00Penny, Kenneth CF15
Special Teams
P2COLQUITT, DUSTIN 05/35Santos, Cairo CF14
PK5Santos, Cairo CF142COLQUITT, DUSTIN 05/3
LS41Winchester, James SF1548East, Andrew CF15
H2COLQUITT, DUSTIN 05/310Daniel, Chase U/NO
KO5Santos, Cairo CF142COLQUITT, DUSTIN 05/3
PR13Thomas, De'Anthony 14/485Hammond, Frankie CF1312Wilson, Albert CF14
KR34Davis, Knile 13/385Hammond, Frankie CF1312Wilson, Albert CF14
Reserves