Thursday, June 5, 2014
2014 Underrated Players - TE and QB
The key to fantasy football is finding value where others don't see it. You have to dig into the stats, check player situations, and account for average draft position to find value where other owners are missing out. Below is a list of underrated quarterbacks and tight ends based on ADP in redraft leagues.
Tony Romo - QB - Dallas -With an ADP around 91, Romo is an easy target for late round value. The Cowboys defense was terrible last year, and with the departure of DeMarcus Ware and the injury to Sean Lee, shootouts look likely for Dallas. Additionally, Romo has been extremely consistent, posting at least 3800 and 28 TDs each of the last 3 years. We think that if you're staring down C.Kaepernick at pick 71, wait 20 picks and select Romo, you'll be no worse off with the QB in Big D.
Andy Dalton - QB - Cincinnati -Dalton was a top five fantasy QB last year, has almost all of the same weapons as last year, and has Gio Bernard and Tyler Eifert to practice with for an entire offseason. What's more, Dalton has improved his stats each year since joining the NFL, and outside of some NFL playoff woes, has shown only positive statistical progress. If you're thinking of taking Matt Ryan around pick 65, consider taking Dalton around 114 instead.
Josh McCown - QB - Tampa Bay -Josh McCown jumped onto the fantasy scene late last year after Jay Cutler went down to injury and all McCown did was put up excellent numbers. In 2014, as the starter in Tampa Bay, McCown will have enormous pass catchers in V.Jackson, M.Evans, and A.Seferian-Jenkins, as well as an excellent receiving running back in D.Martin. With all that talent around him, we feel McCown will easily outplay his 198 ADP. He could be a real steal late in the 2014 draft.
Charles Clay - TE - Miami -Joe Philbin, the head coach in Miami, love to involve tight ends in his offense. No one benefited more from that love, than Charles Clay, who turned in an exceptional 2013 season. Clay has become a nice security blanket for Ryan Tannehill, and another year together could move Clay into the upper tier of fantasy football tight ends. If you are thinking of taking Greg Olsen around 91, also think about holding off until 117 and selecting Clay instead.
Garrett Graham - TE - Houston -Graham of the Texans is getting little respect in 2014 redraft leagues, which is a mistake since new coach Bill O'Brien plans to use him as a "move tight end." Considering Aaron Hernandez had the same role in New England, we expect Graham to have a lot of success in the new regime. We'd find it difficult to pass on Graham (ADP 209) in favor of guys like D. Walker (ADP 178) or J. Cook (ADP 194).