Wednesday, June 11, 2014

2014 Injury Bounce Back Candidates - Quarterbacks and Tight Ends

A great way to find value in fantasy football is to use 2013 injuries to your advantage. Many owners will skip some excellent players due to a injuries in the past. In many cases, savvy owners can select previously injured players at a discount. We've identified a group of quarterbacks and tight ends who've had injury concerns, but also have a chance to bounce back and have strong fantasy value in 2014.

Sam Bradford - QB - Saint Louis - The Rams QB went down early last season with a season ending knee injury, ending a promising 2013 for the former Sooner. Bradford is back with some solid weapons and a stellar defense to back him up. We see him being a solid QB2, with 3500 yards and 25 TDs in 2014.

Cam Newton - QB - Carolina - Newton was not injured during the season in 2013, but had to have ankle surgery during the offseason. Newton and the Panthers believe he'll be fine, so don't expect his statistics to drop all that much. However, Newton has dropped from ADP 35 in 2013, to 48 in 2014.  We recommend catching this cat any time after round 5 and pat yourself on the back.

Robert Griffin III - QB - Washington - We believe RGIII may be the 2014 steal of the draft. Griffin has all the pass catching talent one could ask for, has a coach who wants him to succeed, has had 18 months to recover from his knee injury, and has proven he can put up monster numbers (in 2012).  We expect 3400 yds, 25 TDs passing and 600 yds and 4 TDs rushing, all at ADP 66.

Rob Gronkowski - TE - New England - Gronk is an absolute beast when he is on the field, averaging .97 TDs per game started over his career. Unfortunately, Gronk was riddled with injuries in 2013 and there is always a chance he will be dinged up in 2014 as well. But if he's healthy, the 41st pick is great value for a difference maker like him at TE. We expect 1300 yards and 11 TDs from Gronkowski.

Dennis Pitta - TE - Baltimore - Joe Flacco has got to be so happy to get Dennis Pitta back at full speed in 2014.  The tight end is expected to be the number one or number two option for the Ravens and could put up top 5 TE numbers in 2014.  His ADP has him being selected 8th round, which could turn out to be a solid value spot for the production Pitta is expected to bring.

Jordan Reed - TE - Washington - Concussions brought Reed's season to an early end in 2013, forcing him to to miss the final six games of the year. Had he played those games, based on his averages, he would have ended the season with 83 catches for 950 yards and 6 TDs. If he can do that in 2014, he'll easily be worth the 90th pick in this year's draft.

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