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Monday, June 30, 2014

2013 Fantasy Playoffs - Top Performers Tight Ends


To win your league, you have to start players who perform well at the end of the season. There is no greater frustration than entering your fantasy playoffs just to watch your team get knocked out in the first round. We've identified the top 10 tight ends from 2013's playoff run (weeks 14-16) to help you identify who may be more likely to come through again in 2014.


NOTES:
Jimmy Graham - Outside of a small stint of injury issues a few years ago, Jimmy Graham has been nothing but the best and the TE of choice throughout his entire career. Last year, he came through again in weeks 14 and 16, but had a rough week 15. 

Marcedes Lewis - The Jaguars TE is not considered a week to week option in the fantasy world, but if you used him in the fantasy playoffs last year, you were rewarded handsomely with a touchdown in each playoff game. Unfortunately his inconsistency in the long term make him a risky option each week.

Martellus Bennett - The Chicago Bears tight end was (and continues to be) an excellent PPR option at his position. Bennett averaged over 5 receptions per game during the 2013 fantasy playoffs, and is in line for another stellar season in 2014.  

Searchable List
1 Gonzalez, Tony ATL TE         42.5 14.17 10 16.2 16.3
2 Graham, Jimmy NOS TE 42.1 14.03 20.8 4.5 16.8
3 Lewis, Marcedes JAC TE 38.6 12.87 11.2 13.4 14
4 Thomas, Julius DEN TE         35.7 11.9 12 6.9 16.8
5 Quarless, Andrew GBP TE 33.6 11.2 15.6 15.6 2.4
6 Clay, Charles MIA TE         31.5 10.5 25.2 1.1 5.2
7 Wright, Tim TBB TE         31.5 10.5 9.1 17.7 4.7
8 Cameron, Jordan CLE TE 27.4 13.7 22.6 4.8
9 Rivera, Mychal OAK TE         27.4 9.13 10.6 11.5 5.3
10 Bennett, Martellus CHI TE 26.9 8.97 6.8 9.1 11

Thursday, June 26, 2014

2013 Fantasy Playoffs - Top Performers Quarterbacks


To win your league, you have to start players who perform well at the end of the season. There is no greater frustration than getting into your fantasy playoffs just to watch your team get knocked out in the first round. We've identified the top 10 quarterbacks from 2013's playoff run (weeks 14-16) to help you identify who may be more likely to come through again in 2014.



NOTES:
Andy Dalton - Assisted by an easy closing schedule, Dalton was the surprise QB of the 2013 playoffs, scoring nearly as many points as Peyton Manning. He averaged nearly 27 ppg in the playoffs!

Geno Smith - If we told you Geno Smith was a better playoff quarterback than Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger, and Tom Brady, you'd laugh until next Tuesday. But the statement was correct for the 2013 fantasy playoffs, as Smith threw for 600 yards and 4 TDs, and ran for 142 yards and 2 TDs during his fantasy playoffs.

Nick Foles - The Eagles starter had an amazing 2013, throwing for 26 TDs and only 2 INTs in his 11 starts. He shined in the playoffs as well, scoring no less than 18 points in any of his week 14-16 starts.

Matt Cassel - The 2013 Minnesota quarterback carousel finally ended with Matt Cassel taking the reigns. Cassel produced two huge games in weeks 14 and 15 of last year, but dropped a stinker in week 16. He's a major 2014 sleeper if he maintains the starting job.


Searchable List
1 Manning, Peyton DEN QB 81.4 27.13 31.8 17.6 32
2 Dalton, Andy CIN QB         80.9 26.97 30.1 19.2 31.6
3 Foles, Nick PHI QB            70.6 23.53 18.5 33.2 18.9
4 Luck, Andrew IND QB         62.9 20.97 32.2 16.6 14.1
5 Smith, Geno NYJ QB         62.3 20.77 21.8 13.1 27.4
6 Brees, Drew NOS QB         60.4 20.13 27.8 20.5 12.1
7 Kaepernick, Colin SFO QB 55.4 18.47 12.1 20.3 23
8 Roethlisberger, Ben PIT QB 54.9 18.3 25.3 9.6 20
9 Brady, Tom NEP QB           54.3 18.1 22.8 20.6 10.9
10 Cassel, Matt MIN QB         50.6 16.87 19.2 29.2 2.2

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

2013 Fantasy Playoffs - Top Performers Wide Receivers


To win your league, you have to start players who perform well at the end of the season. There is no greater frustration than getting into your fantasy playoffs just to watch your team get knocked out in the first round. We've found the top 20 wide receivers (.5 PPR) from 2013's playoff run (weeks 14-16) to help you identify who may be more likely to come through again in 2014.


NOTES:
Marques Colston - Not many people know that Colston was the top receiver during the 2013 fantasy football playoffs. He was targeted 36 times in weeks 14-16 and caught 22 of the passes, against top rated defenses (Carolina x2 and St.Louis). Drew Brees trusts his big WR late in the season.

Cordarrelle Patterson - After a slow start with the Vikings Patterson showed WR1 potential late in 2013. If you made the playoffs with him on your roster, you were rewarded with nearly 17 ppg during the fantasy playoffs. We expect a big 2014 from Patterson, as most other experts do as well.

Roddy White - The 10 year veteran had a rough 2013, starting the season with ankle and hamstring injuries. However, White came on late in the season to average 8/90 during the fantasy playoffs. White is a prime candidate for a bounce back 2014.

Marvin Jones - Jones had one of the quietest 10 TD seasons ever, as most owners didn't consider him a startable option the entire 2013 season. However, if you were able to stash Jones away, you must've felt good as he racked up 14 catches for 193 yards and 2 TDs during the fantasy playoffs.

Searchable List
1 Colston, Marques NOS WR 58 19.33 29 20.2 8.8
2 Gordon, Josh CLE WR         57.1 19.03 28 14.2 14.9
3 Brown, Antonio PIT WR 57 19 22.3 21.2 13.5
4 Decker, Eric DEN WR         57 19 21.7 5.2 30.1
5 Garcon, Pierre WAS WR 55.5 18.5 6.2 23.4 25.9
6 Green, A.J. CIN WR         55.2 18.4 16.2 13.8 25.2
7 Edelman, Julian NEP WR 55 18.33 17.4 26.4 11.2
8 Bryant, Dez DAL WR         50.8 16.93 8.2 26.8 15.8
9 Patterson,CordarrelleMINWR 50.4 16.8 23.2 13.5 13.7
10 Jackson, DeSean PHI WR 49.5 16.5 12.9 30.5 6.1
11 Thomas, Demaryius DEN WR 47.1 15.7 18.3 6.5 22.3
12 White, Roddy ATL WR         45.3 15.1 11.4 7.8 26.1
13 Marshall, Brandon CHI WR 45.1 15.03 15 18.5 11.6
14 Allen, Keenan SDC WR         44.4 14.8 19.4 15.9 9.1
15 Jeffery, Alshon CHI WR         42.2 14.07 16.2 15.4 10.6
16 Jackson, Vincent TBB WR 42.1 14.03 15.5 14.3 12.3
17 Jennings, Greg MIN WR 40.3 13.43 7.8 27.8 4.7
18 Jones, Marvin CIN WR         38.6 12.87 13.2 13.3 12.1
19 Johnson, Andre HOU WR 37 12.33 22.9 4.8 9.3

20 Washington, Nate TEN WR 36.8 12.27 3.4 12.7 20.7

Tuesday, June 24, 2014

2013 Fantasy Playoffs - Top Performers Running Backs


To win your league, you have to start players who perform well at the end of the season. No use getting into your fantasy playoffs just to watch your team get knocked out in the first round. We've found the top 20 running backs from 2013's playoff run (weeks 14-16) to help you identify who may be more likely to come through again in 2014.



NOTES:
Jamaal Charles - Charles crushed the competition in the 2013 playoffs, scoring 10 more ppg than the 2nd best RB and 15 ppg more than the 3rd best option.  He was a beast in 2013 and should be again in 2014.

DeMarco Murray - Murray was as star in the playoffs, racking up over 100 combined yards in every game and scoring 3 TDs in that span. When healthy, Murray is an excellent fantasy start.

Ryan Mathews - The San Diego running back finally had a season to remember in 2013, after struggling through injury issues through his first three seasons. Mathews consistency was the key of his playoff run, as he produced at least 119 combined yards and a score in each playoff game.

Andre Ellington - Even while sharing the Arizona Cardinals backfield in 2013, Ellington was able to perform like a #1 fantasy back in weeks 14-16. So, with more expected carries coming his way due to Mendenhall retiring, expect even better results from the sophomore runner in 2014.

Frank Gore - The 49ers fed Gore the ball late in 2013, giving him an average of 20 carries for 97 yards through the fantasy playoffs.  Even with the 49ers selection of Carlos Hyde, Gore seems to be one of those backs who you can count on each and every year.

Searchable List
1 Charles, Jamaal KCC RB 108.2 36.07 28.8 55.5 23.9
2 McCoy, LeSean PHI RB         78.9 26.3 34.6 13.1 31.2
3 Murray, DeMarco DAL RB 64.4 21.47 16.5 23.3 24.6
4 Lacy, Eddie GBP RB         63.6 21.2 16.5 25.1 22
5 Mathews, Ryan SDC RB         59.7 19.9 21 19.3 19.4
6 Bell, Joique DET RB         52.3 17.43 19.7 6.2 26.4
7 Forte, Matt CHI RB         48.0 16 27 13.6 7.4
8 Bell, Le'Veon PIT RB         47.1 15.7 10.5 19.2 17.4
9 Stacy, Zac STL RB         45.9 15.3 9.7 20.8 15.4
10 Williams, DeAngelo CAR RB 44.3 14.77 6.8 24.3 13.2
11 Lynch, Marshawn SEA RB 42.8 14.27 13.2 21 8.6
12 Ellington, Andre ARI RB 39.3 13.1 13.3 17.8 8.2
13 Vereen, Shane NEP RB         39.3 13.1 28.2 3.6 7.5
14 Moreno, Knowshon DEN RB 39.1 13.03 19.9 8 11.2
15 Jackson, Steven ATL RB 38.7 12.9 8.5 18.3 11.9
16 Mendenhall, Rashard ARI RB 38.7 12.9 10.1 20.3 8.3
17 Johnson, Chris TEN RB         36.9 12.3 10.5 16.6 9.8
18 Reece, Marcel OAK RB         36.6 12.2 23.1 8.9 4.6
19 Gore, Frank SFO RB         36.4 12.13 11 8.6 16.8
20 Bernard, Giovani CIN RB 36.1 12.03 16.8 11.6 7.7



Tuesday, June 17, 2014

2014 - Underrated Individual Defensive Players (IDP)


We've identified a group of individual defensive players who are currently underrated and have a chance to produce strong fantasy value going forward.

Jason Pierre-Paul - DE - NYG - JPP was a beast in 2011, racking up 88 tackles and 17 sacks for the New York Giants. Unfortunately, 2012-2013 have been injury prone years for the former South Florida Bull which has lead to his drop in the rankings.  At 25, we think Pierre-Paul still has plenty in the tank, so we're projecting 65-70 tackles and 10 sacks for the DE in 2014.

Sheldon Richardson - DE - NYJ - Coming off of an excellent rookie campaign, the defensive end fits perfectly in the New York Jets 3-4 defensive scheme. He tallied nearly 80 combined tackles and added 3.5 sacks in 2013. Look for him to get increased PT, which should result in a 10% increase in production in 2014.

Everson Griffen - DE - MIN - The Minnesota Vikings let Jared Allen test free agency and find a new home with the Chicago Bears. This leaves the position wide open for Griffen to take over. Griffen has excellent size and the skill to be a contributor, we just need to see the consistency. We feel the defensive end has what it takes, and are forecasting 50 combined tackles and 11-12 sacks in 2014.

Kiko Alonso - LB - BUF - Alonso burst onto the NFL scene in 2013, leading the Buffalo bills with four interceptions in his first four games. The guy has everything needed to be a top 2-3 fantasy LB this year and for a long time. We expect 160-170 tackles, 5 turnovers, 3 sacks and a few passes defensed for the star linebacker in 2014.

Von Miller - LB - DEN - The good news just keeps coming for the former Aggie.  First, Miller is on track for a week 1 return from his ACL injury. Second, Miller has moved on from the suspension issues he endured in 2013. Finally, Denver has Demarcus Ware to rush the quarterback, allowing for more single teams on Miller in 2014.  All this leads to what we expect to be another monster season for Miller. Expect 75 tackles, 15 sacks and plenty of turnovers created this year.

Johnathan Cyprien - S JAX - Cyprien is rated highly in defensive back conversations, so it's difficult to say this second year starter is underrated, but we feel like his abilities will take him to the top in 2014. With a year under his belt, and playing for a team that relies on him, we see Cyprien involved in 140 total tackles and defending 10 passes, putting him in contention for the top Safety in fantasy 2014.

D.J. Swearinger - S HST - In Houston, Swearinger is a bit of a forgotten commodity at the safety position. The former Gamecock is in a great place to make plays in 2014. With J. Clowney and J.J. Watt around the line of scrimmage, and Brian Cushing coming back from injury, Houston's defense will cause some problems for opposing quarterbacks, which will allow Swearinger opportunities to make big plays. We expect over 100 tackles and 6 turnovers from the Safety.

Wednesday, June 11, 2014

2014 Injury Bounce Back Candidates - Quarterbacks and Tight Ends


A great way to find value in fantasy football is to use 2013 injuries to your advantage. Many owners will skip some excellent players due to a injuries in the past. In many cases, savvy owners can select previously injured players at a discount. We've identified a group of quarterbacks and tight ends who've had injury concerns, but also have a chance to bounce back and have strong fantasy value in 2014.

Sam Bradford - QB - Saint Louis - The Rams QB went down early last season with a season ending knee injury, ending a promising 2013 for the former Sooner. Bradford is back with some solid weapons and a stellar defense to back him up. We see him being a solid QB2, with 3500 yards and 25 TDs in 2014.

Cam Newton - QB - Carolina - Newton was not injured during the season in 2013, but had to have ankle surgery during the offseason. Newton and the Panthers believe he'll be fine, so don't expect his statistics to drop all that much. However, Newton has dropped from ADP 35 in 2013, to 48 in 2014.  We recommend catching this cat any time after round 5 and pat yourself on the back.

Robert Griffin III - QB - Washington - We believe RGIII may be the 2014 steal of the draft. Griffin has all the pass catching talent one could ask for, has a coach who wants him to succeed, has had 18 months to recover from his knee injury, and has proven he can put up monster numbers (in 2012).  We expect 3400 yds, 25 TDs passing and 600 yds and 4 TDs rushing, all at ADP 66.

Rob Gronkowski - TE - New England - Gronk is an absolute beast when he is on the field, averaging .97 TDs per game started over his career. Unfortunately, Gronk was riddled with injuries in 2013 and there is always a chance he will be dinged up in 2014 as well. But if he's healthy, the 41st pick is great value for a difference maker like him at TE. We expect 1300 yards and 11 TDs from Gronkowski.

Dennis Pitta - TE - Baltimore - Joe Flacco has got to be so happy to get Dennis Pitta back at full speed in 2014.  The tight end is expected to be the number one or number two option for the Ravens and could put up top 5 TE numbers in 2014.  His ADP has him being selected 8th round, which could turn out to be a solid value spot for the production Pitta is expected to bring.

Jordan Reed - TE - Washington - Concussions brought Reed's season to an early end in 2013, forcing him to to miss the final six games of the year. Had he played those games, based on his averages, he would have ended the season with 83 catches for 950 yards and 6 TDs. If he can do that in 2014, he'll easily be worth the 90th pick in this year's draft.

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

2014 Injury Bounce Back Candidates - Running Backs


A great way to find value in fantasy football is to use 2013 injuries to your advantage. Many owners will skip some excellent players due to a injuries in the past. In many cases, savvy owners can select previously injured players at a discount. We've identified a group of running backs who've had injury concerns, but also have a chance to bounce back and have strong fantasy value in 2014.





Arian Foster - RB - Houston - The former Tennessee volunteer has been medically cleared, is only 27, and will not share carries with Ben Tate.  The change in coaching staff could negatively effect his carries a little, but we feel his production will still turn out around 1200 yards,12 TDs rushing and 300 yards, 2 TDs receiving in 2014. If he's available to you in round 2 or 3, you've created value.  

Ray Rice - RB - Baltimore - Ray Rice was a top 5 pick last year. This year, his ADP is 62 and according to the Ravens, a nagging hip injury along with poor offensive line play is why Rice's production fell last year.  We don't see him bouncing back to top 5 form (especially since he'll be suspended for a few games), but we do see him as the #1 rushing option on a solid offense, which is worth something. If you have the space and patience to wait a few weeks, picking up Rice in the 6th round could get you 1200 combined yards and 7-8 TDs at RB3/flex. 

Doug Martin - RB - Tampa Bay - Martin's season ending shoulder injury is behind him, and the 25 year old is ready to retake the reigns as a top NFL fantasy back. He is in an offense that should move the ball, and has the skills to produce monster numbers. We expect 1500 combined yards and 10 TDs from him, so getting him anywhere in the 2nd or 3rd round is considered a steal. 

David Wilson - RB - New York Giants - Wilson is arguably more talented than any of the other Giants RBs but he's likely headed for a timeshare with R.Jennings and/or A.Williams. If the 22 year old can show the spark he had out of college, he could take over as the feature back, which makes Wilson an excellent sleeper option. Wilson is being selected around 140 this year so if you have the room, add him to your roster as a depth play with RB2 upside.

C.J. Spiller - RB - Buffalo - Spiller was a mid-first round pick in 2013 fantasy football, but wrestled with some ankle issues throughout the season which reduced his production. Now, fully healthy and expected to be the top Buffalo back, Spiller should produce excellent fantasy numbers. We see Spiller around 1400 combined yards and 6-8 TDs in 2014, so target him in the 3rd round. 


Monday, June 9, 2014

2014 Injury Bounce Back Candidates - Wide Receiver


A great way to find value in fantasy football is to use 2013 injuries to your advantage. Many owners will skip some excellent players due to a injuries in the past. In many cases, savvy owners can select previously injured players at a discount. We've identified a group of wide receivers who've had injury concerns, but also have a chance to bounce back and have strong fantasy value in 2014.



Reggie Wayne - WR - Indianapolis - Reggie Wayne was having an excellent season through six games, averaging 5.6 catches for 76 yards per game, before a torn ACL ended his campaign. For 2014, expect him to start a bit slow, but work his way up to another excellent season. 80 Catches for 1100 yards and 6-8 TDs is what we predict.  That kind of production anywhere after the 6th round is excellent.

Roddy White - WR - Atlanta - Matt Ryan had it rough in 2013, with both Julio Jones and Roddy White battling injuries all season. White dealt with a high ankle sprain all season, then Jones, injured his foot and left for the season. Now, in 2014, Julio Jones is still ranked as a top WR, but White has dropped slightly. White's ADP is down 40 spots from 2013, so if you can get his  85-1100-9 TDs any later than round 6, look to scoop him up.

Danario Alexander - WR - FA* - Danario Alexander is a tough case. He has had so many injuries over his 4 year career, but has shown the ability to get it done when between the lines.  If he shows he's healthy, and gets picked up to play in a solid offense, he could easily have a 50 catch, 800 yard, 6 TD season. Keep an eye on his progress, and use a late round flyer on him if he's in the right spot.

Malcom Floyd - WR - San Diego - Keenan Allen has taken over as the Chargers #1 WR due to an excellent rookie campaign, but that still leaves room for Malcom Floyd to come back as a starter. Over his previous three seasons, Floyd has averaged over 795 yards and 5.33 TDs. If you can get that production at the end of your draft, its valuable. Pick Floyd late and use him as a bye week sub and spot start type of player.

Jeremy Maclin - WR - Philadelphia - Chip Kelly has turned the Philadelphia offense into a fantasy football hotspot in 2014. His high paced offense and Nick Foles have proven that the Eagles can score points. Maclin, coming off of an ACL in training camp last summer, is expected to take over the #1 spot from the departed DeSean Jackson. We expect 80 for 1100 and 10 TDs out of a healthy Maclin, which would be excellent output for a guy selected after the 5th round.


Thursday, June 5, 2014

2014 Underrated Players - TE and QB


The key to fantasy football is finding value where others don't see it. You have to dig into the stats, check player situations, and account for average draft position
 to find value where other owners are missing out.  Below is a list of underrated quarterbacks and tight ends based on ADP in redraft leagues.   

Tony Romo - QB - Dallas -With an ADP around 91, Romo is an easy target for late round value.  The Cowboys defense was terrible last year, and with the departure of DeMarcus Ware and the injury to Sean Lee, shootouts look likely for Dallas. Additionally, Romo has been extremely consistent, posting at least 3800 and 28 TDs each of the last 3 years. We think that if you're staring down C.Kaepernick at pick 71, wait 20 picks and select Romo, you'll be no worse off with the QB in Big D.







Andy Dalton - QB - Cincinnati -Dalton was a top five fantasy QB last year, has almost all of the same weapons as last year, and has Gio Bernard and Tyler Eifert to practice with for an entire offseason. What's more, Dalton has improved his stats each year since joining the NFL, and outside of some NFL playoff woes, has shown only positive statistical progress. If you're thinking of taking Matt Ryan around pick 65, consider taking Dalton around 114 instead. 








Josh McCown - QB - Tampa Bay -Josh McCown jumped onto the fantasy scene late last year after Jay Cutler went down to injury and all McCown did was put up excellent numbers. In 2014, as the starter in Tampa Bay, McCown will have enormous pass catchers in V.Jackson, M.Evans, and A.Seferian-Jenkins, as well as an excellent receiving running back in D.Martin.  With all that talent around him, we feel McCown will easily outplay his 198 ADP. He could be a real steal late in the 2014 draft.


Charles Clay - TE - Miami -Joe Philbin, the head coach in Miami, love to involve tight ends in his offense. No one benefited more from that love, than Charles Clay, who turned in an exceptional 2013 season. Clay has become a nice security blanket for Ryan Tannehill, and another year together could move Clay into the upper tier of fantasy football tight ends.  If you are thinking of taking Greg Olsen around 91, also think about holding off until 117 and selecting Clay instead.





Garrett Graham - TE - Houston -Graham of the Texans is getting little respect in 2014 redraft leagues, which is a mistake since new coach Bill O'Brien plans to use him as a "move tight end." Considering Aaron Hernandez had the same role in New England, we expect Graham to have a lot of success in the new regime. We'd find it difficult to pass on Graham (ADP 209) in favor of guys like D. Walker (ADP 178) or J. Cook (ADP 194).



Tuesday, June 3, 2014

2014 Underrated Players - WR


The key to fantasy football is finding value where others don't see it. You have to dig into the stats, check player situations, and account for average draft position
 to find value where other owners are missing out.  Below is a list of underrated wide receivers and where they are currently being selected (ADP) in redraft leagues.   

Antonio Brown - WR - Pittsburgh -This is a bit of a surprise, considering Antonio Brown's ADP is 18, but Brown is underrated.  The Pittsburgh Steelers paid Brown like a #1 WR after the 2012 season, and he produced exactly what they asked for in 2013.  The 25 year old was 2nd in the NFL in catches and 2nd in yards.  In 2014, Brown doesn't have to worry about Cotchery sniping redzone targets adding opportunity for Brown's TD totals to improve.  If you have a late 2nd round or early 3rd round pick, and Brown is on the board, you'll be getting as much value as someone who spends a top 10 pick on a WR. 







Anquan Boldin - WR - San Francisco -The 49ers star produced more than most expected in 2013, and hasn't shown any signs of slowing down.  Boldin has been a solid producer his entire career, but fantasy doesn't believe in him (ADP 143) in 2014. However, if you take a look at his production versus L.Fitzgerald (ADP 40) and V.Jackson (ADP 42), you'll see he's every bit as valuable as they are, just 100 picks later.






Kendall Wright - WR - Tennessee -Wright plays in an offense that has not exactly lit it up recently and has had QB issues since he's arrived.  However, even with the turmoil at QB and the offensive issues of Tennessee, Wright managed 94 receptions for 1079 yards in 2013. So, with all the the hype going towards C.Patterson (ADP 34) and M.Floyd (ADP 50), we'd like our chances with Wright at ADP 66.






Brandon Gibson - WR - Miami -Miami has not been a hotbed of fantasy talent in recent years, but with the signing of Moreno, the maturing of Tannehill, and with Gibson coming off of injury, there could be some promise for the Dolphins offense this year.  Before going down with a season ending injury in week eight, Gibson was on pace for 60 catches for 700 yards and 6 TDs. Now, Gibson has a long way to go to come back from injury, but since he is not being drafted in most redraft leagues, you could stash him away and use him as a bye week option similar to guys like G.Tate (ADP 102), B.Hartline (ADP 150), and D.Moore (ADP 193).









Brandon LaFell - WR - New England -Brandon LaFell moves from a #3 option on a non-existent passing game in Carolina, to the #4-5 option in a strong passing game in New England. Does that hurt or help his fantasy value? We think it helps. Also, if you compare LaFell's stats and ADP of 245 to those of a fellow Patriot, D.Amendola at ADP 127, you can see where LaFell's value may be worth the late round selection.


Monday, June 2, 2014

2014 Underrated Players - Running Backs


The key to fantasy football is finding value where others don't see it. You have to dig into the stats, check player situations, and account for average draft position
 to find value where other owners are missing out.  Below is a list of underrated players and where they are currently being selected (ADP) in redraft leagues.   

Fred Jackson - RB - BuffaloMost owners have been on the C.J. Spiller bandwagon for the last few years. This year is no different, as Spiller's ADP is around 34 and Jackson's is at 136.  The problem is, when looking at their stats for each of the past the years, one can see there shouldn't be such a discrepancy. As the data below indicates, when both are healthy, they produce the same stats. Only when one goes down to injury, does the other turn into a fantasy stud. Now, no-one knows who will catch the injury bug, but if we have the chance to pick a player with RB1 upside in the 11-13th round, we'd take it.


Joique Bell - RB - Detroit - Bell, coming off a solid 2013, signed a new three year, $9.3 million dollar contract extension to stay with the Lions. The signing makes us wonder whether the Detroit Lions running back by committee approach may shift in 2014 and will Bell get the bulk of the carries in 2014? Due to Reggie Bush's injury history, we feel like Bell is the better option in Detroit and since you can get Bell around pick 74 instead of Bush at 41, we see it as a win for those who snatch Bell.  


Danny Woodhead - RB - San Diego -The Chargers offense made a jump forward from 2012 to 2013 and a major contributor to that was Danny Woodhead. The man compares favorably to R.Mathews (ADP 53), F.Gore (ADP 79), and A.Morris (ADP 35) in production, but Woodhead's ADP is much lower at 109. Wait on him and reap the benefits in 2014.







Pierre Thomas - RB - New Orleans -Over the last three years the New Orleans Saints have leaned on Thomas to produce, and he has responded. He has been incredibly consistent, with a line around 1000 total yds and 5 TDs a year. Additionally, with Sproles is out of the picture, Thomas should get his hands on a few more receptions which only increases his value.  Thomas's ADP is 115, well below his RB2-RB3 counterparts.


Mike Tolbert - RB - Carolina -Mike Tolbert may not be on most fantasy owner's radars due to his ADP of 270, but he has become a nice secret for some TD production. Over the last four years, Tolbert has never scored less than 7 TDs, and since the Panthers have lost plenty of wide receiver weapons this offseason, Tolbert could get his hands on a few more receptions.  Look at possibly swiping him off of the waiver wire for bye weeks and handcuff situations.