Tuesday, May 13, 2014

2014 NFL Draft - Round 3 - Fantasy Football Impact

Let's take a look at the offensive fantasy Football impact of the 3rd round of the 2014 NFL Draft. There are definitely some contributors in this bunch, but most of them will need an opportunity to really be a factor early in their careers.

C. J. Fiedorowicz  - TE - Iowa - The former Hawkeye is more of a blocker than a pass catcher, and the Texans have Griffin and Graham slated ahead of Fiedorowicz on the depth chart. We don't see much value this year, but with time, could be a producer in the Houston offense. He will likely go undrafted in dynasty rookie drafts.

Charles Sims  - RB - West Virginia - The ex-West Virginia star will now transition to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers backfield. Sims, known to be a solid receiver out of the backfield, will have his work cut out for him to see playing time. He has Doug Marting coming back off injury, Mike James in the mix, and Bobby Rainey to contend with.  Expect Sims to be selected in the 2nd or 3rd round of most rookie dynasty fantasy drafts.

Tre Mason  - RB - Auburn - Mason had an amazing 2013 working in the Auburn backfield. He was highly touted coming into the NFL, but being selected by St. Louis reduces his value slightly. The Rams have a plethora of young running backs, including stud and starter Zac Stacy, and backups Benny Cunningham, Daryl Richardson, and Isaiah Pead. We do expect Mason to beat out most of the backups, but unless Stacy gets nicked up, don't expect much from the ex-Tiger anytime soon.  Mason's ADP is 1st round in rookie fantasy dynasty drafts.

Josh Huff  - WR - Oregon - The Oregon Ducks product is headed to the perfect situation for him. He has his old College coach, knows the playbook, is in a pass happy offense, and has the skills to compete for playing time. Unfortunately, Huff will have to compete with fellow rookie Jordan Matthews, which may be difficult. Expect Huff to come off the board late in most rookie dynasty drafts.

Donte Moncrief  - WR - Ole Miss - This Ole Miss Rebel may be the cream of the 3rd round crop this draft. Moncrief has an excellent shot to be a major piece the the Indianapolis puzzle. He has the size (6'2", 220) speed (4.40 forty), and quarterback (Andrew Luck) to be a producer in fantasy football going forward. The colts do have some depth at WR, but Wayne is at the tail end of his career and Nicks is signed to a one-year contract, so Moncrief may be a starter early in his career. Expect 1st/2nd round ADP in dynasty fantasy drafts.

John Brown  - WR - Pittsburg State (KS) - A relative unknown coming into the draft, the Pittsburgh State star was selected by the Arizona Cardinals to fill the slot, and add depth to the Receiving core. Brown is lightning quick, and if he transitions well, could make some big plays early in his career.  We expect Brown to be a 5th round pick in most rookie dynasty drafts.

Terrance West  - RB - Towson - West ran wild in college, putting up 2509 yards and 41 touchdowns (Towson University and NCAA FCS records) on 413 carries. The Cleveland Browns selected West, along with Isaiah Crowell in the 2014 drafts as insurance for Ben Tate, but there are rumblings that West will beat out Tate to start sometime this year. Expect west to be a 3rd round dynasty rookie pick.

Jerick McKinnon  - RB - Georgia Southern - This Georgia Southern product is a project for the Minnesota Vikings. Lucky for McKinnon, he only has to beat out Matt Asiata to become the backup to Adrian Peterson. However, there is a possibility he switches to defense, which would likely make render him useless in fantasy football.  Unless AP gets hurt, expect him to be available as a free agent in dynasty football this year.

Dri Archer  - RB - Kent State - The former Kent State stud can flat out fly. His 4.26 40 yard dash was the fastest of 2014 and the 5th fastest all-time. Now the Pittsburgh Steelers have him, and will likely use him as a poor man's Darren Sproles type of back. If Archer were considered a WR, he'd have a little more value, but as an RB, don't expect much from him in Pittsburgh.  He will be available late in most rookie dynasty drafts.

Richard Rodgers  - TE - California - This ex Cal Bear has landed in an excellent spot to have value in fantasy football and in the NFL. Richard Rodgers has the opportunity to become Aaron Rodgers over the middle target, which would create very solid TE numbers for him.  We project R.Rodgers starting slowly, but slowly working his way into the starting lineup, and eventually becoming top 20 TE in fantasy football. Expect him to be available late in fantasy rookie drafts.

Crockett Gillmore  - TE - Colorado State - The CSU Rams star has size and leaping ability to make it in the NFL. He can block well and has a knack for making plays. Unfortunately, for Gillmore, the Ravens have Dennis Pitta and and Owen Daniels in front of him on the depth charts. Look for Gillmore to go undrafted in dynasty fantasy rookie leagues.

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