Tuesday, March 25, 2014

2014 Sell High Dynasty Candidates

Philip Rivers SDC QB - The NC State product had a resurgent 2013, throwing for nearly 4500 yards and 32 TDs.  However, Rivers age (32), and San Diego's dedication to the run (Mathews, Woodhead, Brown), and the age some of Rivers' favorite targets (Gates,Floyd) makes now a sell high moment for the QB.

Alex Smith KCC QB - The former #1 pick had an excellent 2013 playing for Andy Reid in Kansas City. Unfortunately for Smith, the Chiefs lost three-fifths of their offensive line (left tackle Branden Albert, guard Jon Asamoah, guard Geoff Schwartz) and one of his security blankets in Dexter McCluster. Because of the massive departures on offense, we don't see Smith thriving like he did last year.

Rashad Jennings NYG RB - The Liberty alum played admirably for Oakland in the 2nd half of the year replacing Darren McFadden. He racked up nearly 800 total yards and 6 TDs after week 8 of 2013. His efforts were rewarded with a 4 year contract with the New York Giants. The problem for Jennings is that the Giants have a crowded backfield (Wilson, Hillis, Scott), and at 28, we think Jennings best years have come and gone.

Toby Gerhart JAC RB - The former Viking was the surprise of free agency this offseason, getting a 3 year, $10.5 million contract to be the lead RB in Jacksonville. The former Heisman trophy runner-up is only 26 and doesn't have much tread on his tires, which does makes him intriguing to many Dynasty owners. However, the Jaguars are terrible, Gerhart is a plodder, and Jordan Todman/Denard Robinson will take some carries from him as well.

Marques Colston NOS WR - The former Hofstra star has averaged 1000 yards and 8 Touchdowns over his eight year career. He has been as consistent and steady as any WR in the league.  Unfortunately, the team has decided to get younger at WR, acquiring guys like Stills, Toon, Givens, and Morgan to take targets away from Colston. Additionally, Colston's cap number jumped up from $4.5 million, to $8.3 million this year, and grows above $10 million by the end of his contract. If Colston is to stay in New Orleans, he'll have to do some major restructuring next year. And if not, his production will suffer away from Brees.

Jerricho Cotchery CAR WR - The former 4th round pick caught lighting in a bottle last year for Pittsburgh. After muddling his way through his first 9 years in the league Cotchery produced 10 TDs. Now, with a new contract in Carolina, Cotchery has to be considered the #1 WR for the Panthers. Unfortunately, he's not a #1 receiver, and going against #1 corners will reduce his numbers. Additionally, Carolina does not focus on the passing game, making Cotchery a great sell high candidate at this point.

Andre Johnson HOU WR - The 2003, #3 overall pick has been a PPR and yards dream for the past decade. Johnson has been the definition of a top receiver in the NFL, making plays his entire career. However, The Texans are bringing in a new coaching staff, have overhauled their QB position, and realize Johnson is 32 years old.  We don't see the 2014 season going as well for the talented WR as in past years.

Julius Thomas DEN TE - How can we say that a 25 year old star, in the best passing attack in the NFL, is a sell candidate? Well, the answer is Denver's QB situation, with a dash of health concerns.  Peyton Manning is getting older, he only has a year or two left, and during that time, Thomas will produce. But once Manning is done, Thomas turns into another average TE. Additionally, Thomas has had nagging ankle and knee issues, which are never a good sign for such a young player.

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